Sports Betting Hot News

CALDER RACE 6 CELTIC TRICK 12-1…DELAWARE PARK RACE 1 BILL MALLINS 8-1…MONMOUTH PARK RACE 1 BLUESMAN 4-1…GOOD RACING

if u r thinking of betting louis. tonight, after the last 3 weeks of research,, u SHOULD BET the 1st half line,,, big favorites tend to cover 1st half lines more, than whole game… just some info..

2-3 record NBA totals

BKLR$$

what is the smart money on for the world series. my book will give me 5-6 on houston and 6-5 for the sox.  any input would be grateful.  thanks

UConn -1 1 unit

This game is exactly what I thought it would be.  Hope that continues as Uconn wins this game 19-3.

Houston (Oswalt) -1.5
KC +3
Under 48

DELAWARE PARK RACE 1 COMEON AND PLAY…MEADOWLANDS RACE 2 COMMANDING
LINK…WOODBINE RACE 3 EARTHQUAKE RIDE…GOOD RACING

MoJo,MoJo, TURNOVER, MoJo, Mojo

try a fin field goal good luck stanford

usc +6
ucla -6.5
gl

Anybody know the score of this game? I can’t find it on the Internet. I
had over 46???

4 Piston, miss st

UConn wins outright. Wanted to play this one for more than one unit but
line did not cooperate. Expected it to go to 5.5 or higher, guess betters
werent fooled on this line. Cuse has been less than impressive against
better teams, and was only a matter of time before it caught up to them.
Tomorrows slate looks pretty tough. NDame line looks like a trap, but I
might bite. BC just looks too tough on the boards for soft ND team.

NCAA (11-5) plus 8 units

Yesterday 14-12

totals 114-81

Ok general outlook i see the NBA is not treating us to well. Yesterday
1-3. And when i do these totals its rare that we come ahead in the NBA.
Just a thought. I will post later if anyone cares i was doing alot better
with my plays once i read the board here and got some Feelings. Good
luck and lets pick Winners.

Date placed:
Mar 19, 2005 8:21p Single #12570443
Basketball – College Lines
NCAA TOURNAMENT
Second Round @ CSU Convo Center – Cleveland, OH (Game can be seen on CBS)
(517) West Virginia +375 Sat@8:15p

need louisville to hold its lead… then lakers, for a huge day….

SINCE IT IS A QUIET MONDAY I WILL TRY TO GET SOME OF MY MONEY BACK WITH
THESE…1st CORA’S RIB w/p…2nd ANXIOUS ALEX w/p…3rd ASHCROFT KNIGHT
w/p…4th MCFARLAND across the board…5th CODE ONE win…6th VEGAS
ATTRACTION across the board…7th JAMYE’S MEGABUCKS across the board…8th
DUSTY PAT win…9th SOUTHERN PIONEER win…GOOD RACING

I just dont see the Sixers hanging with the Suns tommorrow. I’m all over
cheap buy down to -6 and ML

Strong defence, slow tempo. I think they may hang on to win this game. You
know we cant say goodbye to Reggie just yet!

WIZARD’S 2005 BELMONT STAKES: SELECTIONS, ANALYSIS, AND WAGERS ($10)

**************************************** *****************************
EXPECTED WEATHER & TRACK CONDITIONS: Temperatures expected in the low
eighties with partly sunny skies. Dry track expected for the Belmont.
**************************************** *****************************

DATE: Saturday, June 11, 2005.
TRACK: Belmont Park, Race 11
RACE NAME: The Belmont Stakes
RACE CONDITIONS: 1-1/2 Miles. 3 Year Olds.

The Triple Crown trail has always been comprised of many twists and
turns, in addition to a few landmines along the way, which on occasion,
has made it virtually impossible to determine the winner of a
particular Triple Crown event. That statement was never more evident
than in the most recent running of the Kentucky Derby when Giacomo, a
50-1 longshot, was able to emerge victorious while stunning the racing
world with his dramatic upset. Boasting only a maiden victory on his
resume thus far, his success in the Derby not only defied logic, but
was unforeseeable as well, as there was absolutely nothing in his past
performance lines that you could hang your hat on in order to select
him as the winner of that prestigious race. I felt that his victory at
Churchill Downs was an absolute aberration, and I held firmly to that
belief in the Preakness Stakes when he was not even on my short list of
contenders for the middle jewel of the Triple Crown.
Sometimes, things in life have a way of coming full circle. In stark
contrast to the Kentucky Derby, the outcome of the Preakness was
clearly not a surprise, as the final result meant a return to normalcy
concerning the fine art of handicapping. In the Preakness, Afleet Aflex
exhibited the agility which has served him so well throughout his
career, as he nearly went down for the count in the stretch, clipping
the heels of Scrappy T as he was poised to overtake the eventual second
place finisher. The runner-up bore out in the stretch under an extreme
left-handed whip, and only the athleticism demonstrated by the winner
prevented him from falling. His determination enabled him to regroup
and once again recapture his stride, as he overpowered a helpless
Scrappy T, drawing away with complete authority from that rival in a
breathtaking victory.
If the unthinkable had happened in the Preakness, and Afleet Alex
had tumbled to the ground, the incident, coupled with a most peculiar
result in the Kentucky Derby, could possibly have sent the sport into a
tailspin from which it might never have been able to recover.
Nevertheless, we were able to press on, not aware of what off-the-wall
incident, occurrence or result will take place as we set our sights on
the Belmont Stakes, the final leg of the Triple Crown.
Thoroughbred racing has, and always will, take you on a
rollercoaster ride that is unsurpassed by any ride you could hope to
find in an amusement park. Just when you think you know something about
this game, it is at that precise moment that the rug will be pulled out
from underneath you. Determining the most likely winner of he Belmont
Stakes, while no easy task, is an undertaking worth diving into.
Handicapping thoroughbred races nowadays is a lot like everyday life,
you learn to expect the unexpected, as you never know what will happen
next. Stay tuned.

THE FIELD (In Post Position Order, With Program Numbers):

1-Nolan’s Cat

2-Pinpoint
3-A.P. Arrow
4-Southern Africa
5-Giacomo
6-Watchmon
7-Andromeda’s Hero
8-Reverberate
9-AFLEET ALEX
10-Indy Storm
11-Chekhov

SELECTIONS (In order of preference)

**************************************** *******************************

1st-AFLEET ALEX 2nd-REVERBERATE 3rd-ANDROMEDA’S HERO 4th-GIACOMO

**************************************** *******************************

1st Selection (# 9) AFLEET ALEX (Tim Ritchey/Jeremy Rose)

This has NOT been a particularly memorable Triple Crown for me. While
part of it has to do with not selecting the winner of either race, the
major reason is the fact that I used poor judgment in the Preakness. As
a result, it has gnawed at me incessantly since. More about that later
on.
In the Kentucky Derby, I felt that of all the logical contenders
’suiting up’ in the Run for the Roses, Afleet Alex was the only horse
that I felt was going to run his race. There was absolutely no doubt in
my mind whatsoever that the son of Northern Afleet would show up at
Churchill Downs on Derby day, and as a result, I made him my top
selection. As the field turned for home in the Derby, and Afleet Alex
split horses in midstretch to gain a tenuous lead, my heart was
literally pounding in my chest. For an instant I began to think that I
had selected the Derby winner. However, as quickly as that moment came,
it seemed to vanish in half the time, as Afleet Alex veered inward
under jockey Jeremy Rose’s whip, a sign that fatigue was setting in. He
eventually weakened in deep stretch to finish third as both Giacomo and
Closing Argument passed him, with Afleet Alex settling for third money.
While obviously disappointed at coming so close, I felt the Kentucky
Derby result was unattainable, at least from a traditional handicapping
standpoint anyway.
Heading to Baltimore, I somehow got the crazy notion that Afleet
Alex was a bit over the top. Maybe I felt he should have won the Derby,
or was not the horse I thought he was, getting passed by two impossible
longshots near the wire. For whatever reason, I started to believe that
he had fired his best shot in Louisville, and would regress in the
Preakness. I had literally forgotten my very own words that I penned in
my Derby analysis of him, stating that Afleet Alex had consistently
competed at a high level throughout his career and always gave it his
best shot. In the days leading up to the Derby, the one thing that I
could hang my hat on was the ultra consistent form that Afleet Alex had
exhibited throughout his career, his lone off-the-board finish
occurring in the Rebel Stakes when he suffered from a sever lung
infection. Believing that he would undergo a relapse in the Preakness,
in addition to drawing post twelve, I began to look elsewhere. Instead
of sticking with him like I had in the Grade 2 Arkansas Derby at
Oaklawn Park, when I made him a Crystal Ball Selection on my daily
sheet as the critics openly criticized him and trainer Tim Ritchey, I

deserted him and ultimately paid the price.
What everyone remembers most concerning his Preakness victory is the
fact he nearly fell after clipping the heels of the subsequent runner-
up, Scrappy T, but still went on to produce a smashing victory. Not me.
What I found particularly noteworthy was the way Afleet Alex relaxed
for Rose in the Preakness, which was in stark contrast to the trip and
ride he received in the Derby. Rose knifed his way thru the bulky field
while closing into a lightning fast pace at Churchill Downs, and Afleet
Alex was nearly spent by the time he turned into the stretch. Not this
time, as he scooted along the inside part of the track down the
backstretch under only modest encouragement while making up valuable
ground in the process. Rose had a ton of horse entering the stretch,
and were it not for a roadblock named Scrappy T that he stumbled upon
in early stretch, his margin of victory quite possibly would have been
in the double digit category.
While thoroughbred racing is just a game to most people, it is my
livelihood. I live and breathe it every day, taking it very seriously.
To me, it is brain surgery and when I make an amateurish mistake, it
haunts me. If I had it to do all over again, I would not change a thing
concerning my selections for the Kentucky Derby. As for the Preakness,
well, that’s a horse of another color. I can not rewrite the past, only
learn from it.
Afleet Alex has had his detractors since last summer at Saratoga.
Trainer Tim Ritchey has been criticized for his unorthodox methods of
training his prized pupil, while jockey Jeremy Rose has been disparaged
for his indecisiveness at times. Putting all that nonsense aside, this
horse can flat out run, plain and simple. He comes to play, and lays it
on the line virtually every time he sets foot on a racetrack. That’s
something I won’t be forgetting any time soon. And neither should you!

2nd Selection (# REVERBERATE (Sal Russo/Jose Santos)

The are several scenarios when a change is made to a horse such as
blinkers on or off, recently gelded, or a switch to a new trainer which
can result in a horse showing dramatic improvement. In the case of
Reverberate, when trainer Sal Russo decided to adds blinkers three
starts back, the son of 1995 Kentucky Derby and Belmont Stakes winner
Thunder Gulch, became a far superior performer than the form he showed
in his prior five outings without the hood.
In all three starts he has moved forward, improving his speed
figures with his finest effort coming in his last start, the Grade 2
Peter Pan. Reverberate was coming off a strong entry allowance victory
before boosting in class into stakes company. He was no match for the
winner Oratory, who would have been a clear second choice if his
connections had elected to wheel him back in the Belmont Stakes.
Reverberate was on the pace most of the way but was unable to match
strides with a very impressive winner who finished up the final eighth
of a mile in a very fast: 11 3/5 seconds. Reverberate wound up 6 Ѕ
lengths clear of the third finisher.
What I like most about Reverberate is that he enjoys a heated
battle. Before blinkers were added, the only time he was on the lead
was in his maiden win sprinting in his second career start. Since the
hood has been added, Reverberate has shown consistent early speed all
three times and a willingness to battle hard and fight on to the wire.
The misconception about horses running in the Belmont Stakes, is that
players like to back horses who close from off the pace. They figure
that at 1 Ѕ miles, these closers will benefit by the added distance.
Past history in the Belmont suggest otherwise. Those who perform best
are horses with tactical speed like Reverberate possesses. He has run

three times at Belmont with two wins and a second. Trainer Sal Russo
has been red hot since the meet started. Reverberate is owned by
Centennial Farm who won the 1993 Belmont Stakes with Colonial Affair
under Julie Krone.

3rd Selection (# 7) ANDROMEDA’S HERO (Nick Zito/Rafael Bejarano)

Andromeda’s Hero was one of five horses saddled by trainer Nick Zito
in the Kentucky Derby. He was also one of five horses trained by Zito
that failed to hit the board in that race. Can anyone tell me what the
odds of that happening were?
To be fair to Andromeda’s Hero, asking him to win the Kentucky Derby
was a bit unrealistic as his connections were obviously reaching for
the stars. After all, he had failed to win a graded stakes event in his
career. And his major success to date had been an off-the-pace victory
in the Sam F Davis at Tampa Bay Downs in February. Although he was a
creditable third to Afleet Alex in the Grade 2 Arkansas Derby, I
summarily dismissed him in the Run for the Roses. I also did the same
for Giacomo, and look what happened there. However, in this case I was
right, as Andromeda’s Hero ran to his 57-1 odds and finished a non-
threatening eighth.
Right about now, you are probably asking yourself, what is there to
recommend Andromeda’s Hero in the Belmont Stakes? First off all, he’s
trained by Nick Zito, who loves to catch handicappers napping. Remember
last year, when Zito saddled Birdstone to defeat Smarty Jones in his
quest to make history by capturing all three legs of the Triple Crown?
The circumstances that surround Andromeda’s Hero are eerily similar, as
both horses were sired by Kentucky Derby winners. Neither horse had won
a race of any consequence heading into the Derby, and both horses
subsequently ran eighth on the first Saturday in May. Both horses were
then sent to Saratoga to train over the deepish Saratoga training track
in preparation for the Belmont, with each runner firing a bullet at
five furlongs in their preparation upstate.
While these comparisons certainly ring true, this is the type of
animal that can surprise with an astonishing effort at long odds,
albeit winning one may be a different story. Zito loves to upset the
apple cart, especially when the spotlight is focused elsewhere. That is
particularly relevant this year, when he is due to be enshrined in the
Hall of Fame at Saratoga. Saddling Andromeda’s Hero to win the Belmont
Stakes would go right alongside with Birdstone’s stunning victory in
the same race last year as a remarkable training feat for Zito. If
lightning is indeed going to strike again, it is always prudent to be
prepared when it does.

4th Selection (# 5) Giacomo (John Shirreffs/Mike Smith)

Giacomo has become the ‘Rodney Dangerfield’ of thoroughbred racing,
as he continues to merit little respect from the media and most
handicappers. Heading into the Kentucky Derby, that was quite
understandable, as Giacomo boasted nothing more than a maiden victory
on his resume, and few people gave him a chance at an in-the-money-
finish.
Still, that did not serve to intimidate the son of Holy Bull from
running the race of his life against the big boys on the first Saturday
of May, as he was capable of outlasting nineteen other rivals while
posting a dramatic and stunning upset which stood the racing world on
its ear. While it was certainly true that Giacomo was the beneficiary
of a perfect setup, as he rallied on the best part of the track, while

closing on a excruciatingly quick early pace, he still had to go out
and run the 1 1/4 miles like everyone else. The fact that he soundly
defeated more accomplished rivals with little to recommend him that day
is why horse races are run a racetrack, and NOT on paper.
Nevertheless, Giacomo was still not held in high regard in the
Preakness Stakes, which should be appropriate for a Kentucky Derby
winner. Bred by his owners, Mr. and Mrs. Jerome S Moss, virtually
everyone was saying; “See I told you so, his Derby win was nothing but
a fluke” after Giacomo finished a well beaten third in the Preakness
Stakes to Afleet Alex, a rival he took the measure of in Kentucky.
Looking at his effort in Baltimore objectively, Giacomo was not
disgraced, as the tight turns at Pimlico does tend to flatter a deep
and wide running closer. So, it was understandable that his connections
would send him to the Belmont, as a much improved effort is likely over
“Big Sandy” with its expansiveness and wide sweeping turns.
One thing going in his favor is that Giacomo should relish the 1 1/2
miles of the Belmont. In stark contrast to the way he raced earlier in
his career when he exhibited tactical speed, Giacomo has now adopted a
come-from-the-clouds style of running, which served him extremely well
at Churchill Downs. Should the pace scenario in the Belmont mirror the
one he encountered in the Derby, it will definitely compliment his off-
the-pace style of running. Giacomo will have been able to conserve
valuable energy for his late run, as the other runners become weak in
the knees as they attempt to negotiate the final furlong while sitting
close to lively fractions. Trip will not play as important a role as it
did at Pimlico, and therefore Giacomo will be afforded a better
opportunity to be at his best.

THE REST OF THE FIELD IN ORDER OF PREFERANCE:

(# 4) SOUTHERN AFRICA (Michael Puhich/John Court)

Southern Africa had hinted that he possessed untapped potential with
a pair of ‘close up’ fourth place finishes to the two-year-old Eclipse
award winning Declan’s Moon and the eventual Kentucky Derby winner,
Giacomo. After a non descript effort in his sophomore debut at Santa
Anita Park on February 5th in the Sham Stakes, trainer Mike Puhich
decided, and to his credit I might add, that Southern Africa was not
ready-for-primetime players, at least not yet and elected to take a
different course with his three-year-old.
Southern Africa took a road less traveled for his connections, as he
began to recoup the entire $16,500 paltry purchase price that his
owners spent for him, and then some. He was shipped to Sunland Park for
the Borderland Derby on February 27 and outfitted with blinkers.
Success was immediately forthcoming as the son of Cape Town reeled in
runner-up Thor’s Echo who had stolen away to a three-length lead in
midstretch, and then began to edge clear enroute to a decisive victory
in deep stretch. That victorious effort was followed by a strong second
place finish in the Win Star Derby in early April, which was also at
Sunland Park. With jockey Jon Court aboard for the first time, I
believe that he might have moved to early with Southern Africa into a
hot pace. Ultimately, he did secure the lead, but was unable to match
strides with the winner as he stretched out to nine furlongs for the
first time in his career. When Southern Africa was shipped to Lone Star
Park in mid-May for the Grade 3 Lone Star Park Derby, Court did not
make the same mistake twice. Despite a bit of a wide trip, he stalked
the early pacesetters, and then was able to sustain his rally to win by

1 1/4 lengths. It was a much needed effort off a brief freshening, one
that would set him up perfectly for his sternest test to date which
would be forthcoming.
Unquestionably, Southern Africa has been transformed into a much
different and consistent animal since equipped with blinkers. He was
not outfitted with the hood while tackling the elite of the juvenile
division last year at Hollywood Park, but he has obviously grown and
matured quite a bit since then. This year, almost anything is possible
in the Triple Crown, and while I think a victory by Southern Africa is
certainly not implausible, it would be surprising to say the least.
Young thoroughbreds have a tendency to develop by leaps and bounds, and
Southern Africa certainly fits the bill where that is concerned.
Whether he can continue that forward level of progression in such a
demanding race as the Belmont Stakes at 1 1/2 miles remains to be seen.
Southern Africa continues to train extremely well for trainer Mike
Puhich, and with his fine tactical speed, he should definitely make his
presence felt. While expecting him to grab the brass ring today might
be wishful thinking, believing that he has a chance to hit the board in
this race is not.

(# 10) INDY STORM (Nick Zito/Edgar Prado)

If there is one horse that has the pedigree to absolutely relish the
Belmont Stakes’ marathon distance of 1 1/2 miles, it is Indy Storm. He
is a son of A.P. Indy, who won this race in addition to the Breeders’
Cup Classic. The sire of his dam is by Unbridled, who also won the
Breeders’ Cup Classic along with the Kentucky Derby and also finished a
strong second in the Preakness Stakes to Summer Squall, a half-brother
to the aforementioned A.P. Indy. Indy Storm’s dam, Unbridled Wind also
won 3 route races, so he is bred top and bottom for this particular
race.
Indy Storm, while long on pedigree, is a bit short on
accomplishments right now. As we have learned this year, that is not an
obstacle that can not be cleared. With trainer Nick Zito removing the
blinkers on May 21 in a preliminary Allowance contest on the Preakness
Day undercard, Indy Storm overcame an outside post to rally smartly
from off the pace while posting a decisive two length victory.
While the competition that he faced in Baltimore is obviously weaker
from what he encounters today, special circumstances are present. The
Belmont Stakes is a challenging race to be sure. It is a contest where
horses that possess superior talent are pushed to limit as they attempt
to negotiate the twelve furlongs. At times, the race can be reduced to
a battle of wills, as these horses are pushed to the limit, thus
leveling the playing field somewhat. If the latter should occur, Indy
Storm not only has a good chance of grabbing a portion of the spoils,
but he might be able to take down the lion’s share of the purse if
things were to fall his way. Zito has a way of shining on big days, and
Indy Storm could once again have the glare of the spotlight thrust
directly upon him should he emerge victorious. ‘Brooklyn Nick’ has
always done well in his own backyard, and today might be another entry
onto his long list of accolades.

(# 11) CHEKHOV (Patrick Biancone/Gary Stevens)

Owner Michael Taber has had great success both in North America and
Europe, so when the gavel struck at the Keeneland April sale in 2004,
and the final price of $3.3 million dollars flashed on the board for a
son of Pulpit out of the excellent mare In My Cap, it was not

surprising that Tabor and company were the recipient.
Chekhov has started five times and has earned a little less than
$54,000 which is not a very good return on Tabor’s investment up to
this point. It’s not that he has not run some decent races, but he has
yet to prove that he can compete at this level.
Distance racing has always been the plan for Chekhov. He made his
career debut going two turns at Keeneland as a two year old. He made
his first start at three at Santa Anita and ran respectably in both a
maiden event where he ran third and then was an even fifth stepping up
into a stakes race. It was evident that if Chekhov was going to start
living up to his purchase price and pedigree, that Belmont Park with
its wide sweeping turns, was where he belonged.
Finally on May 8 at Belmont Park, dropping back with maidens,
Chekhov put it all together with a powerful off the pace victory as the
odds on favorite. I was impressive enough from his effort to make him a
top selection when he boosted up in class to make his next start in the
Grade 2 Peter Pan. He was a well beaten fourth in a fast race. Chekhov
looked like he was going to be a factor when he began to launch his
wide rally around the far turn, but he was unable to sustain it through
the stretch. He actually lost 7 Ѕ lengths from the quarter pole to the
eighth pole and another 2 ј lengths from the eighth pole to the wire. I
expected a lot more from him and did not get it.
Chekhov’s connections indicated he acted very “green” in the race
and they expect a much better performance in the Belmont. Even though
he could turn in an improved effort, I find no reason to think he can
improve enough to compete with more seasoned and established runners
off a dull fourth place finish two weeks ago.

(# 1) NOLAN’S CAT (Dale Romans/Noberto Arroyo)

This colt is consistent, acts like he should have no problem
handling the 1 Ѕ mile distance and comes from solid connections. The
only problem is that I find it very difficult for me to consider
Nolan’s Cat as a serious contender. He is still a maiden after five
career starts. Can you imagine a maiden winning the Belmont Stakes?
Even though he was beaten a half length by A.P. Arrow on May 14 at
Churchill, I prefer him over that rival. Nolan’s Cat has shown a
consistent late kick and I have more faith in trainer Dale Romans than
Wayne Lukas to have a horse at his best for a race of this magnitude.
Nevertheless, the best I can envision Nolan’s Cat running Saturday is
possible to round out a trifecta of superfecta.

(# 2) PINPOINT (Nick Zito/John Velazquez)

One thing you have to admire about trainer Nick Zito is that fact
that he does not take defeat lying down, he just keeps on firing. In
the Belmont Stakes, Zito is taking three shots at the target which is
better known as the Belmont. Pinpoint is one of the bullets that he is
using in the hopes of hitting a bulls eye today.
Pinpoint began his racing career inauspiciously, failing miserably in
his career debut at Gulfstream Park on February 12. However, that is
the last and only time the son of Peaks and Valleys has tasted defeat,
as has been perfect since that debacle in his unveiling, reeling off
three successive victories at three different tracks for his
owner/breeder, A. B. Hancock III.
Stepping into the Handicap ranks off a preliminary Allowance victory
is never an easy undertaking. Still, Pinpoint was able to accomplish
that feat when he annexed the Sir Barton Stakes on the Preakness Day

undercard. The fact that he was able to set a rather pedestrian pace on
the front end unquestionably benefited him immeasurably. Regardless,
Pinpoint was able to maintain his advantage to wire, as the eventual
runner-up had every opportunity to pass him in the stretch, but could
simply not get past the wire-to-wire winner. In all likelihood, it was
probably that gritty performance by Pinpoint at Pimlico which prompted
Zito to enter him in the Belmont Stakes today, which will definitely
serve his toughest assignment thus far.
This is a monumental task for a horse who is lightly raced,
especially against top caliber competition to undertake. While I can
appreciate his gameness at Pimlico, he is suspect in the Belmont on
pedigree alone, as his ability to carry his speed twelve furlongs is
questionable. While he might be able to get away with setting a modest
pace, I guarantee you that his battle will only be starting with the
race just half over. To say the least, entering Pinpoint in this race
is a baffling move by Zito and it defies reason. Just because you train
a who runner was nominated for the Triple Crown, that doesn’t mean he
has to compete in it. Maybe Zito should learn that.

(# 3) A.P. ARROW (Wayne Lukas/Jerry Bailey)

What would a Triple Crown event be without trainer Wayne Lukas as a
participant? This year his lone participant in the Kentucky Derby and
Preakness was Going Wild who was hopelessly defeated in both races.
Fortunately Lukas realized that he needed a well deserved vacation.
Lukas has a new entrant and he is the well bred A.P. Arrow owned by the
same connections who raced the great Cigar and the famed mare Azeri.
A.P. Arrow is one of the better bred horses in this years Belmont
Stakes but he has yet to live up to his sparkling pedigree. That is not
to say that down the road, he could turn out to be a top class runner.
On Saturday he will be asked to travel 1 Ѕ miles in only his fourth
career start against far more seasoned rivals. That is a lot to ask of
a horse that only made his first career start less than three months
ago. A.P. Arrow rallied to finish a good second that day sprinting at
Santa Anita. For some bizarre reason Lukas and owner Michael Paulson
decided it was in the best interest for the colt to run him in the
Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby off one race, which was a losing effort
against maidens. It was no surprise that he was well beaten that
afternoon. A.P. Arrow was dropped back down with maidens in his last
start stretching out to 1 ј miles at Churchill Downs. He caught a
sloppy track which he is impeccably bred to handle. Showing improved
early speed, A.P. Arrow set a pressured pace from the start and held on
to defeat Nolan’s Cat, a maiden who is running in this years Belmont
Stakes.
I find it difficult to consider a horse like A.P. Arrow in the
Belmont off an all out maiden win making his fourth career start in
less than three months. He is obviously a horse with a bright future.
In my opinion it would be much more realistic to bring A.P. Arrow along
slowly, moving him up in class using the available allowance conditions
which would help him develop both physically and mentally. But I am not
Wayne Lukas and Michael Paulson who made a mistake in the last year’s
Breeders’ Cup races when they decided to run Azeri against the males in
the BC Classic instead of running her in the BC Distaff, a race in
which she would have probably won.

(# 6) WATCHMON (Pat Reynolds/Javier Castellano)

It is difficult to fathom how Watchmon can be even a fringe player
in this year’s Belmont Stakes. He is still eligible for an entry level
allowance race. Even though he won an off the turf race in the slop at
Gulfstream Park this winter at 1 7/16 miles, his pedigree is clearly
suited better to much shorter distances than the 1 Ѕ miles he will be
asked to travel on Saturday.
Watchmon got tested for class in the Federico Tesio at Pimlico on
April 23. He ran fourth, beaten five lengths to Malibu Moonshine who
came back to be soundly defeated in the Preakness. The only reason that
his connections have even considered running him on Saturday is that he
is a Triple Crown nominee who is stabled at Belmont Park. Good tickets
in the clubhouse are expensive and hard to come by. By having a runner
in the Belmont friends and Family get to spend a nice day at the track
and get treated royally. I guess that’s enough of a reason for
Watchmon’s connections to run him.

**************************************** ******************
WAGERING STRATEGY SECTION.

No win bet will be given out in this year’s Belmont Stakes. Since
Afleet Alex will go off the favorite in the vicinity of 6-5 odds, I
would rather concentrate on wagering strategies for the exacta and
trifecta.

* EXACTAS 9 over 7-8, reverse for a small amount

* TRIFECTA: 9 over 4-5-7-8 over ALL = $72 for a $2 wager

* TRIFECTA: 9 over 4-5-7-8 over 4-5-7-8 = $12 for a $1 wager

* TRIFECTA: 5-7-8 over 9 over ALL = $27 for a $1 wager

advice appreciated seems high

YTD Sides 48-35 +33.67U
YTD Pars 16-19 -12.78U
7/7/15
Sides 0-2 -9.0U
Pars 0-3 -9.0U
======================
Week before All-Star break was pretty brutal. Took some time off from
posting.

CWS -140 4U

GL,
GooseSTL

10 across on #1…148 exacta and triple boxes…$54…w2w

Reidpipe

With the new season amongst us, I have 3 early plays for week 1:

Denver -4.5 vs Miami

St. Louis -5.5 vs San Fransisco

Indianapolis -3 vs Baltimore

My favourite play of these 3 above is St. Louis, I think this team is going to be very explosive offensively this year and should feast on teams that don’t have great defences.  San Fransisco, once again, is rebuilding and won’t be able to keep pace with St. Louis offensively, look for St. Louis to win by at least 10 points.  The only thing keeping this game from being more of a blow out is that it’s on grass, which will help to slow down the Rams and their speed a little bit.

SF/ARZ

Over 22

Good Luck to all,

BKLR$$

SORRY GUYS LATE NIGHT AT WORK

Phily -3

dallas +3

over and under 40.5

what a piece of shit website. Check the Lehigh score says 13-4 lehigh.  Check 20m minutes later 27-10 butler. 

ESPN is the whore of sports entertainment.  Wish i coiuld bet the over on how many times Dan Patrick will blow T.O. by 7 tonight.

in Playboy.  Got my issue yesterday.  It doesn’t even look like her first of all.  2nd of all, she is not as hot as she looks on TV.  And lastly, there was absolutely no beaver shots, just big implanted breasts.  All that excitment leading up to it, and nothing to show for it.  Bummer.

Overall 3-1

Minny -4 over UAB..

More later!

after last 3 weeks (3-0), posting totals ,, there looks like a couple of plays this weekend,, but only 1 on sat.,, 2 to 3 sunday, and 1 on monday,,hoping to go at least 3-1, if weather doenst hurt us,

today:  going against popular belief:

OVER IN denver/buffalo

low total (34,34 1/2),,cause of weather, BUT, that could also mean turnovers, and neither team is good in redzone defense

denver is 28th, buffalo is last(32)

offense denver is 6th,  buffalo (not so good) 29th,, but hopefully denvers lack of def. in red zone will make it easier for buff…

check back tom. for at least 2 more after this one goes over…..

ps…. u may not like my opinion on favre,, but u will like my plays,,, good luck to all,,, except if u bet the under in this game…

Where about Ohio are you?  I am in Northwest Ohio.  Detroit Casinos only 45 min away.  Yikes!

WE WERE 0 for 5 YESTERDAY…TODAY…RACE 2 #4…RACE 11 #2…RACE 12 #1…GOOD PACING
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Guys, been away for a bit. I LOVE Jersey tonite. They get one more then lose in 6.

FREAK………………………..OUT!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

kc is just awful….gonna play 1/2 unit on det to win and 1/2 unit -1.5 runs

gl to ev1 on this one

RACE 1 #6…RACE 2 #1…RACE 3 #6…RACE 8 #8…RACE 10 #6…RACE 12 #5…RACE 13 #5…YESTERDAY WE RAN 2nd IN THE 1st $6.10 $4.50…WON THE 7th $8.60 $5.60 $3.40…RAN OUT IN THE 9th AND 12th…GOOD PACING
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A woman walked into the kitchen to find her husband stalking around with a fly swatter.

“What are you doing?” She asked.

“Hunting Flies” He responded.

“Oh. Killing any?” She asked.

“Yep, 3 males, 2 Females,” he replied.

Intrigued, she asked. “How can you tell them apart?”

He responded, “3 were on a beer can, 2 were on the phone.”

NCAA last week: 2-3, -2.05 Units
NCAA Overall: 12-13-1, -1.15 Units
NCAA Halftimes: 0-1, -3.3 Units

NFL last week: 4-1, +6.7 Units
NFL Overall: 13-5, +20.0 Units
NFL Halftimes: 2-0, +3.5 Units

High School Football: 1-0, +1.0 Units

Documented #6 at GuruTracker in NCAA & NFL combined.

I have been asked to continue the Promo Offer on the discounted rate until Monday. I will extend it so that everyone who wanted to save the $125 can get in. Monday night it will end.

Payment should be made by PayPal to this email address: Info@AdvantagePlays.com from the PayPal website. Please type the words “Advantage Plays Full Season Promo” in the header. I will contact you after I am notified and add you to my Full Season Membership List.

I feel very strongly that no one in the industry works harder or provides the reasoning and detailed game analysis that I do, in my honest opinion. I do not believe this to be bragging or making ego-based statements. I have been in business since 1991 (starting at the ripe young age of 22) and spend 60+ hours per week in researching the game opportunities. I will continue to do everything I can to make you money and give you confidence in my selections.

ON TO THE WEEKEND!

3*** Best Bet/ Iowa State/Nebraska OVER 53

Nebraska’s famed “Black Shirt” defense has been a candidate for a milk carton this year. MIA would explain the level of play so far. They allowed Kansass to climb back in the game after taking a 17-0 lead and went to OT before finally squelching the rally. This is not a Kansas team that should be confused with Boise State. The Huskers led 14-0 and were +5 in turnovers but couldn’t get the killshot. The defense was unable to stop the Jayhawks feeble offense at all. Kansa QB Adam Barmann threw for 405 yards in the final three quarters and should have had even better numbers, but for a lost fumble on the NU 3 yard line and two dropped passes by his TE, both sure TD’s. The Nebraska D gave up 574 yards to a suspect offense.

Iowa State flies a bit under the radar but they are fully capable of beating the Huskers today. They are a big play offense and will get many shots downfield against the NU secondary. Forget last week’s narrow escape against instate rival Northern Iowa. They were peeking ahead and NIU is a very good 1-AA team, ranked 13th. They were sky high for ISU. The Cyclones have a solid quarterback in Bret Meyer and he has thrown for 662 yards in the last two meetings between these teams.

Last year, NU QB Zac Taylor threw for 431 yards against the Cyclones and we could see similar numbers here. He had 395 last week and the Husker offense is clicking on all cylinders right now. ISU’s D is ranked 95th in total defense. The West Coast offense of Nebraska will get their points, and they get the starting senior center back this week. However, Nebraska HC Bill Callahan has been trying to use the running game a bit more and this is why I like this OVER play. I expect ISU to get ahead and take away the run from the Huskers. More footballs in the air means clock stoppage. ISU is vulnerable in the air as is Nebraska. This game will likely be a “last possession” type of game and OT is not out of the question. We had double OT last year in Lincoln. This low total is surpassed in the 4th and we walk to the window…
Iowa State 38, Nebraska 35.

19-14 NFL Season

Arizona +14 (at Bodog)

Also made a small bet on Arizona ML +665, just for fun.

Peace.