NIowa, App. St.

its the Northern Iowa what???? and App. St. what????

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Fun NFL Parlay

The Florida Parlay

Tampa +6

Miami ML

Jax -4

 

Hits more often than you think…..

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Added NBA play 11/4

 Pistons vs Celtics Over 187  1 Unit

 Also have Portland +11.5  1 Unit

 

GL 2 All

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Good Article: Young Quarterbacks

Alex Smith comes to mind when I read this article. See if this is the same for you all. I’m ready for him to come back so I can start betting against the Niners some more. Sure worked out in the Skins game a few weeks ago.  

Young Quarterbacks
by http://chicagosportsreview.com/
http://chicagosportsreview.com/

 

Handicapping games involving young quarterbacks (QBs) is always an interesting challenge. Even though we?re well into the 2005 football season, there are still going to be many instances when quarterbacks will be making their first start for their teams, or when young QBs will be facing situations they have never faced before. Over the course of more than three decades of handicapping, I?ve developed a few guidelines to help simplify the situation.

My overall rule of thumb is that once young quarterbacks get a chance to play for their teams, they must continually prove themselves. We all know that the media love to focus on QBs, even while they are still in high school. The Internet is rife with websites devoted to following the recruiting process of high-school hotshot QBs throughout the nation. Their careers are followed even from the time they are sophomores, including which schools are interested in them, which schools they intend to visit, which schools they give their verbal commitment, and, finally, the ?Super Bowl Sunday? of recruiting services ? which teams snag them with a letter of intent on ?signing day.? Newspapers, magazines, websites, and radio and TV shows are then flooded with ratings, rankings, and discussions that generally lionize the high-school exploits of the recruits headed to the various colleges. But in terms of handicapping, they haven?t proven a single thing.

No matter how highly rated, no matter what their size or speed, and no matter how strong their arms, they all still need to prove themselves under fire on the field of battle. And the number of hotshot QBs coming out of both high school and college who fizzle when they get to the next level is truly impressive. Many a high-school blue-chipper disappears into anonymity before he even gets a shot in the pros. And many lower-rated, skinnier QBs who are smaller and slower, with weaker arms ? but who are smarter and more dedicated ? end up stars in college or in the Pro Bowl in the NFL.

As teams this season turn to young QBs due to injury of or disappointment in their previous starter, you might want to keep some of these ideas in mind.

Any QB making his first start (in either college or the pros) must first show me he has the intelligence, poise, and enough ability to win at all. If he can do that, he must then show he can win on the road (especially in college) with opposing fans screaming for their own team.

Then, he must prove he can beat a good team; then, beat a good team on the road.

The next test? Beat a very good team (say, a top 10 team in college or a top Super Bowl contender in the NFL). Then, he must beat a very good team on the road. If you think that?s a common occurrence, just check out the record of ?Practically Perfect? Peyton Manning. He couldn?t get Tennessee past Florida while in college. And he?s 2-8 versus the Patriots in the pros, including 0-6 straight up in Foxboro (1-4-1 against the spread) and 0-2 in the playoffs. In fact, Manning was 3-13 straight up as a rookie with Indy in 1998, failing to earn a victory (or cover) until his fifth start.

The Dan Marinos and Ben Roethlisbergers of the NFL world are few and far between. The Heath Shulers and Ryan Leafs are much more common. In fact, I consider it a virtual ?automatic? play to go against a rookie NFL QB in his first start. No matter how well he played in college, how rapidly he has supposedly learned the system, and how much he has advanced in practice, his first game in the crucible of battle against the hardened pros of the NFL is going to be the severest test of his career. In fact, most NFL coaches go out of their way to alter their normal defensive game plan or style, throwing every blitz, stunt, and disguise in their playbook at the youngster until he makes them ?pay? by generating a few touchdowns. I always anticipate more takeaways than normal for a defense when facing a rookie QB in his first start.

Lastly, very few young NFL QBs ever win their first playoff game, especially on the road. Once again, I anticipate more turnovers than normal by his team.

Here?s one last notion. Just because a quarterback?s career gets off to a very slow and rocky start when he is young, don?t let those memories linger in your mind forever. It is just natural for QBs to develop over time, becoming ?smarter? with more experience ? recognizing defenses quicker, becoming more patient in the pocket, and learning to dump the ball off for short gains or throw it away. It?s when defenses ?slow down? for young, bright, and talented QBs that they become very valuable to handicappers, regardless of the hype they generated ? or any ensuing failure ? earlier in their careers. For example, the Chargers were all set to replace Drew Brees last year. Then, top pick Philip Rivers held out in the preseason, Brees reasserted himself, and San Diego went from 4-12 in 2003 to 12-4 in 2004, including 13-1-2 versus the spread! For my money (and I mean that literally), it takes young QBs about two or three years of playing time for the ?lights to go on? and for the ?game to slow down.? For Brees, it turned out to be three.

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Watch this Kentucky backdoor…EOM

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Cardinals – 200 $$$$$$$

Go Redbird’s

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So, do we think?

Ravens and Eagles are going under yet?

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urban meyer new florida coach

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Added top play

NCAAB:

Oklahoma St. +1 (3 units)

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footballpix u there cmon………

was wodering if u could get that chicago sports consulant nba picks for a
niggaaa.thks holla back cheselchest.thks a mill.

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Halftime Vandy vs TCU

Look for Vandy to continue crushing TCU in the 2nd half.

Vandy relies on the 3-point shot and onl hit 1 in the 1st half and still
lead by 15 at the break.

Vandy is amazingly better at home than on the road. They are pissed with
the way they have played and this is their 1st game in 9 days and its at
home.

The crowd is rocking, they are pumped, they want a definitive win and they
will get it.

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Like a few today…..

Liking Louisville -8, IU -15, Wake -4, VTech +7 (Could win this one
straight up) and Vanderbilt -10…….GL.

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unc/duke

anybody got the line yet for the game>?

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Anyone have Tallahassee GOW?

I would like to compare it with my own selections. These plays are
usually solid. I hate fridays bc I dont do well in the NBA or ivy
league. Looking forward to the weekend. Good luck everyone.

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Are u kidding get the 107 over NOW!!! kINGS

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Air Force Trend

Here is stat. Air Force has actually never won a game in a MWC
tournament. Air Force is favored by 8 tonight against a SDSU team that
lost 9 of their last 10 or something. I still say take Sad Diego State.

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Here’s to Tony Gwynn

for being fat and never on roids. That’s my hero.

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saturday

NCAA record now 190-160 after going 2-1 on Wednesday, Davidson a loser,
St.Joes and Memphis the winners… Just one game today…

Illinois -4 (-120) bought it down a point with the low juice at Pinny. I
picked Arizona in my brackets to get to the elite 8 but as much as it
pains me this is where I get off the train. I think Illinois are a much
superior team on the defensive side of the ball and that shows tonight as
they contain Stoudamire in a great game. goodluck

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Hey W2W

I took your advice and bet all of your plays in Aqueduct. Great Job with
Deputie’s Notebook! Paid 11 bucks.

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Nba Halftime Monster

Dbl winner

Boston -5 and over 101 6 units each

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Halftime!!!

Grizzlies(+4)

Down

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Another 2nd half winner !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Big $$$$$$ made on spurs +2.5 second half
I hope you guys jumped on my call !!!!!!!!!!

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THURSDAY’S PLAYS * * * * * * *

Hello all you tasty twats. I like tasty twats. Twats that are tasty is
what I like. Especially when the twats are tasty. Tasty twats are the
way to go. Twats that are tasty. Mmmm…. Yes… I like the taste of
twats especially when they are tasty. Nothing beats a tasty twat better
than a twat that is tasty.

There we go again. You just wasted 13 seconds of your life reading
meaningless garbage from me. Why do you people do it?? Huh?? Huh?? It
is just like the smell of our own farts. We LOVE our own fart smells.
Other people fart, we gag and sometimes we spit. What da hell is that all
about?? What, do we think we can SPIT the fart smell out of us?? But our
OWN farts, that is a different story! We love the smell and we are eager
to waft the scent towards our nose. It’s like we anticipate it. I could
be sitting on the couch then I let a good one rip, then I tilt my head
down between my legs knowing that any second that deliciously pungent poop
aroma will soon rise into my nostrils. We know it is retarded but we look
forward to it. That is what I think you all view my daily posts as. My
posts is just stupid, dumb, idiotic rantings that you pretty much despise,
yet there is a satsifaction that is experienced when you read it. It is
like when you are beating your meat to a Natalie Portman photo (ones when
she was 12 years old) and they you are about to squirt, but then you let
go of your dinagaling, so that the sour cream can reside back inside your
pecker, then you go a bit limp, then you quickly start wacking off more
faster and more furious like you are a boyscout rubing sticks together to
start a fire until you bazzoka your tapioca pudding all over the towel.
Then you are out of breath, you have a cramp in your wrist, and then you
wipe your cucumber dry. You then stare at your bruised penis, feel a bit
guilty, but then you get over it and start all over again with photos of
Alyssa Milano when she was in ‘Who’s the Boss’. So that is how you view
my posts. Am I right or am I right?

————————————————
All Plays risking $100 or 1 unit.

MLB ‘04 (377-325) ………. +$4,685 – FINAL
NFL ‘04-’05 (91-73) …….. +$1,070 – FINAL
NCAAF ‘04 (91-69) ………. +$1,510 – FINAL
NCAAB ‘04-’05 (158-156)….. -$1,360 – FINAL
NBA 04′-’05 (209-163) …… +$2,640 – FINAL

MLB ‘05 (65-57) ………….. +$596 – CURRENT

**TOTAL: + $9,093 **

————————————————-
POST SEASONS

‘05 NFL PLAYOFFS (7-3) ….. +$370
‘05 NCAA BOWLS (12-13) …. -$230
‘05 NCAA TOURNEY (18-11) .. +$590
‘05 NBA PLAYOFFS (10-14) … -$440

** POST SEASON TOTAL: +$280 **

————————————————-

NBA PLayoffs (11-14)
1-0 Y

Dallas +4

I am not keeping 2 pt records this month as I did it last month to PROVE
that it is profitbale and it was. And so far just in just the first 4
days of May, 2 of my 3 pushes/lossess have been within 2 points already.
It is like the CHEESE commercial “Behold the power of 2 points!”

—————————————–

MLB ‘05 (65-57) +$596
5-0 Y +568

1:05 Boston (Arroyo) -130
1:05 Milwaukee (Gover) +123
1:10 Mets (Benson) -115
7:15 Tampa Bay (Henderickson) +158

BOOYAH BABAY! Nice to have a good sweep yesterday. Papa needs it! And
ya think Yankees gotta win today?? Puhhh-leeeezzee.

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MONTICELLO RACINO PICKS 06-06-05

RACE 7 #6…RACE 9 #4…RACE 10 #4…RACE 12 #6…GOOD PACING

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Football is near, Scit will re-appear.

Stay tuned for lots of fun and profits gang!

Scits teaser followers know what I refer to.

Can’t wait!

Scit

(PS het fbpix and dolla and bj er… produce)

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One play…

Cleveland Engines +105

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ONE A DAY

record at 12-12…minus $645.70or 322.85 units…TODAY…10th RACE
SARATOGA…CHEZ AUDRA 20 units across the board…$120…w2w

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Produce, 9th inning MO JO in Atlanta

Lets get a run here and end this PLEASE.

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hope someone got on

3-0 so far.up 400.00   need mets, and colorado for the big ass

sweep,  sorry buisness is busy first time getting to let loose.

off to shower ,then to bed .then back to work  wtf

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clueless, wire, ect..

going to a fantasy football draft tonight at a OTB…  was wondering if you could give me some winners at night..  Del mar or anywhere else…

 

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Pickers picks Mlb and College

1)under 4.5 Houston Phil 1st 5 innigs -110

Risking 220-200

2)Under 5 -112 Twins Tex 1 st 5 innings -112

risking 224-200

3) a’s mariners under 7.5 -126

risking 504-400

College FB

1) Miami -3 -109

risking 327-300

2) new mexico -14 -115

risking 230-200

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How did the computer picks do today?

Out of 18 picks, 11 winners, 3 2nd’s, 4 3rd’s.  Yep, every single one in the money.  Throw in a 25.80 winner to the mix.

 

How many played them?  Me myself and I!

Throw the Wizard on here with a 1/5 shot and everyones dog is even playing. 

 

I have 4 tracks tonight, no reason to waste board space and my time doing this.

 

Cheers!  I am going to buy me a Big Steak and Lobster for the old lady.  That was with Del Mar money last night.  I’ll save todays for gas in my boat this weekend.

By the way, every bet was marked “best” today.  No excuses.

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2nd half

va tech -280 mline pinny  1 unit 280/100

gluck

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I suck at this….. lately

I can’t seem to get a break.  I am done for a while

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To anyone with Florida -8.5

You got robbed. Florida is up by 10 and FSU misses a jumper. Florida rebounds and throws it down the court. It looks like FSU will just let them just run out the clock but the Florida player somehow loses control (backwards none the less!) and it goes to an FSU player who throws it to a wide open player under the basket. Then down by 8, FSU intentionally fouls a Florida player not once, not twice, but three times and the ref doesn’t call it. Clock runs out. Game over.

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Big Prop for tonight Football

I didnt get on in time tonight to post Willis Mcgahee -12 yards vs Ricky Williams or Larry Johnson-16 yards vs Mike Anderson but I played them both and I have hit about 90 percent of these this year. They are my biggest plays in football. My biggest play last week was Lamont Jordan and he pulled it out for me but tonight I have to go against him and take LT -38 1/2 rushing and receiving yards. Jordan should get more rec yards but LT may get 100 more rushing yards as he should have a HUGE game and Oakland likely will be playing from behind most of the way.

Just my opinion but these plays are gold as you dont have to worry about turnovers and crazy calls to get the cover they usually play out the way they should.

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FUc$k$$ing 76ers

got 76ers -7  and they are up by 20 going into the 4th

 

Easy winner not

now it going to be a loser

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portland sucks

they didnt even try…plus ive never even heard of most of thier players…what a joke…pretty good day anyway, good luck and cya tomorrow

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under 10.5 rounds tonight? Thoughts THX

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angels/yankees

I don’t think the Yankees will be swept in this series. If I didn’t have money on it, I would love to see the broom! Take the Yankees on the run-line: +141.

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